Is the next Israeli government indeed tied and unable to promote the application of sovereignty in Judea and Samaria because of commitments that may have been made by Netanyahu as part of the Abraham agreements?
This claim, which is heard mainly from senior members of The New Hope party, is dismissed by the former Israeli ambassador in Washington, Yoram Ettinger, based on both the characteristics of democratic regimes and Israel-US relations in the past.
Here below is Yoram Ettinger's article that was published yesterday on his site, the Ettinger report:
It has been suggested that the next Prime Minister of Israel will be proscribed from annexing parts of Judea and Samaria – for the next three years - due to Prime Minister Netanyahu's personal commitment to President Trump to refrain from annexation. This ostensible commitment was never ratified by Israel's Legislature.
Does a personal commitment by an Israeli prime minister to a US president tie the hands of succeeding Israeli prime ministers?
Not according to the tradition of democratic societies, which aims to avoid Executive tyranny, limiting the power of presidents and prime ministers through a system of checks and balance.
For example, international accords reached by US presidents require ratification by two thirds of the Senate. Therefore, in 2018, President Trump was able to withdraw from the 2015 Iran Nuclear Accord (JCPOA), since it was never ratified by the Senate. Moreover, the US is not committed to the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty, which was signed in 1999 by President Clinton, but has yet to be ratified by the Senate.
Furthermore, the 1975 assurance of President Ford to Israel's Prime Minister Rabin "to give great weight to Israel's position that any peace agreement with Syria must be predicated on Israel remaining on the Golan Heights," did not commit any of the succeeding presidents, since it was not ratified by the Senate. A similar fate met President Eisenhower's 1957 non-ratified assurance issued to Israel's Prime Minister Eshkol, which implied US willingness to deploy its military in the face of Egyptian violations of agreements in the Red Sea and the Sinai Peninsula (which triggered the 1967 War).
On June 19, 1967, in the aftermath of the Six Day War, Israel's Prime Minister Eshkol and his Cabinet offered "to conclude peace agreements with Egypt and Syria, based on the pre-1967 lines with due consideration to Israel's security requirements." Egypt and Syria rebuffed Israel's unprecedented lavish offer. However, this generous Israeli proposal did not preclude Israeli Prime Minister Begin – who was a member of the 1967 Cabinet - from applying Israeli law to the topographically and geographically overpowering Golan Heights in 1981.
Should future Israeli prime ministers be constrained by the equally-reckless proposals, submitted by four previous Israeli prime ministers, who offered a sweeping retreat from the Golan Heights? Do past Israeli careless peace proposals – which were rejected by Syria - carry more weight than Israeli law and Middle East reality, which has highlighted the erratic, unpredictable, violent and tenuous nature of the Middle East, in general, and Syria, in particular?
In the 2000/2001 Camp David and Taba Summits, Prime Minister Ehud Barak – the shortest term-serving Israeli prime minister – overwhelmed President Clinton and Yasser Arafat by offering to withdraw from 97% of Judea and Samaria, re-divide Jerusalem, transfer some parts of pre-1967 Israel to the Palestinian Authority, and negotiate a return of some Palestinian refugees. That incredible offer – which would have returned Israel back to the pre-1967 nine to fifteen-mile sliver dominated by the mountains of Judea and Samaria - was rejected by the Palestinians.
In 2008, Prime Minister Olmert's equally reckless peace proposal was rejected by Mahmoud Abbas.
Should future Israeli prime ministers sacrifice Israel's existential national security requirements – in the volcanic Middle East, which has yet to experience intra Arab peaceful coexistence - on the altar of past foolhardy non-ratified Israeli proposals?
Rather than refraining from the annexation of the Jordan Valley and the mountain ridges of Judea and Samaria – which constitute Israel's most critical line of defense and the cradle of Jewish history, religion and culture - future Israeli prime ministers are advised to follow in the footsteps of Prime Minister Begin. Prime Minister Begin applied Israeli law to the Golan Heights in 1981, despite his own support of the aforementioned 1967 peace proposal, and in defiance of brutal pressure from President Reagan, including the suspension of a promising defense cooperation agreement. Begin's defiance triggered short-term friction and acrimony with the US, but yielded long term appreciation for Israel's posture of deterrence and enhanced Israel's national security.